Tuesday, January 10, 2012

1/10/12

Henry Margusity, Accuweather Meteorolgist, posted a Facebook status indicating that the Northeast had a HUGE storm Presidents Day 1979 due to a La Nina to El Niño scenario. As of right now, I could see that as a possibility, but ENSO temperatures seem to tell a better, more accurate indicator of whether a Nina or Niño is in effect. Regardless, it will be something to watch.

9 comments:

Mike Paulocsak said...

Hello Andrew.I don't know if you remember the Presidents day blizzard in february 2003.Was this a La nina year or El nino year?I remember this storm covered a wide area covering midwest,ohio valley the mid-atlantic,and parts of the northeast.Southern ohio had a severe icestorm out of this.Luckily,i recieved all snow.I ended up with about 10"-12" of snow.I remember it like it was yesterday.In fact,i still have my local newspaper articles on it.Man,how the time goes by so fast!!

bweather said...

SOI values were negative in 03 and there was no La Nina to El Nino. 1962-1963 was a flip and 1978-1979 was on too. There both gave a heavy backload dose of winter with. I live outside of DC and average 18"in a year. 78-79 dropped 37"in of snow. So time will only tell.

Mike Paulocsak said...

Hi BWEATHER.Thanks.I wasn't sure 2003 was either or not.I usually average 40" in a season of winter in eastern Ohio.

Anonymous said...

if this storm is going to happen again will it affect nyc

Andrew said...

Anonymous: We cannot predict that. This is just an overview.

Mike Paulocsak said...

Andrew.I was wondering how accurate the instant weather map site is?It's showing a bunch of rain towards the end of this month?

Andrew said...

The question is if the models are correct.
The instant weather maps site puts out the maps of the models. The site doesn't make the predictions- it displays the models.
As for the end of the month, that is extremely long range.

Mike Paulocsak said...

Hi Andrew.Thanks for the explanation.Here's a question nobody has asked yet,including myself.How much ice do you expect this winter?Also,where do you see the most ice storms,if any?

Andrew said...

We will be able to determine ice storms when the pattern actually changes.