Wednesday, December 14, 2011

Model Checks: Dec. 14 Evening

Concerning Dec. 20 storm.
North Camp: storm into Wisconsin
South Camp: storm into Ohio Valley/Northeast

North Camp: GGEM
South Camp: NOGAPS, ECMWF, GFS ,ECMWF ENSEMBLES

Preferred Model Blend: ECMWF/NOGAPS/ECMWF ENSEMBLES

11 comments:

AJ said...

So you are saying that there could be two storms on the 20th? Would one severely effect northwest Indiana?

Andrew said...

There will only be 1 storm.

AJ said...

I have only heard people say north camp and south camp one time a long time ago.What does it mean?

Anonymous said...

When will the nao turn negative and how long will it last

Mike Paulocsak said...

Hello Andrew.Does the NORTH CAMP mean that the storm would track in a northerly track,and the SOUTH CAMP mean that the storm would take the southern track,or the scenic route as the meteorologists always say in my area.

Mike Paulocsak said...

As of now,does it look like the SOUTH CAMP track is favored over the NORTH CAMP track? I understand that things can certainly change.

AJ said...

Could one of them severely affect northwest Indiana?

AJ said...

Where would the heaviest accumulations be if it took the south track?

Anonymous said...

The heaviest snowfall usually occurs 100 miles or so nortwest of the storm track.Is this correct?

Andrew said...

Anonymous: The expected pattern change should bring the NAO down soon enough.

Mike: Yes on both comments.

AJ: It depends on warmer air.

Anonymous: Yes.

Mike Paulocsak said...

Hello Andrew.I figured that is what the north & south camp meant.Just checking.Could this storm possibly cause snow in my area if it took the southern route?