Thursday, December 1, 2011

December 9-12 Possible Major Storm System (Great Lakes, Midwest, Ohio Valley Affected)

The ECMWF has come out with a monster low in Michigan and wickedly cold air behind it. This is valid at Hour 240 of the new 12z ECMWF today.
It appears a low pressure system will make a presence in Texas after coming from the Southwest region, but we are not totally sure if that is what the ECMWF portrays. After the low is present in that region, the low pressure system moves in a NNE direction, pulling massive amounts of cold air behind it as the storm system makes its way into Michigan. These cold temperatures are originating from the deep heart of Canada, where temperatures know no bounds. The system appears to be supported by a ridge in the east US/offshore the Southeast coast. This system would be pulling warm air into its system and helping sustain the system. If this was to verify, I could easily see Oklahoma to NW Illinois getting in on some snowy action.
We are closely investigating this system for any flaws and will alert you on our Facebook Page if there are any developments.

15 comments:

Mike Paulocsak said...

Hello Andrew.Would this system effect Ohio.I saw something on the GFS model earlier today regarding this.Could it bring heavy snow to eastern Ohio?

Andrew said...

At this time, eastern Ohio would not get snow. But, hour 240 is 10 days. That is a LOT of time for the models to change. This storm might not even evolve. We will just have to see.

AJ said...

Will this storm system have any effect on NW Indiana?

Andrew said...

If this image verifies, yes.

AJ said...

Thank you.

AJ said...

I don't know if it is to ask you this but if this is a snowstorm not an ice storm how much snow do you indicate we get in NW Indiana?

AJ said...

Sorry I meant is it to early to

Anonymous said...

how much snow could the ohio valley get?

Owen12789 said...

What about central IL will we see snow in your estimation?

Anonymous said...

Not going to happen. 0Z and latest 12Z ECMWF backed up on that solution...was hoping it would come true!

Mike Paulocsak said...

Hi Andrew.It sure looks like Ohio is going to get another SOAKER this sunday night thru tuesday.Just imagine if it would all be snow!!

Andrew said...

Anonymous: One model run does not mean a storm system will not happen. It can be an indication, but keep in mind one model run is not gospel.

Mike: That's exactly why I think Ohio WILL get in on th snowier part of the winter. ;)

Mike Paulocsak said...

Hello Andrew.I'll keep thinking,snow,snow,snow!!!!!!!! Do you think January through March would be the prime for winter storms in Ohio? This is usually when we get our real BIG time winter storms.

Anonymous said...

Its not just one model run....none of the models are showing a storm like that in another Month!

Andrew said...

Mike: January thru March is winter, so if you look at it that way, then yes, that's when the winter storms occur. ;)

Anonymous: The beauty of the models is how rapidly they change over a short period of time...