Friday, May 13, 2011

Severe Weather Threat May 17-20

There is some low concern for a severe weather event going into May 17 through the 20th.
This was based off of a low pulling a warm front and following cold front through the South.
As this cold front moves through, there will be a moderate cap in place just before the cold front, suppressing storms. Beyond that thin cap, there is no cap, meaning lower instability than there would be with a cap. CAPE values are forecast to be low as well.
The low level jet and jet stream itself will be weak in the area of interest.
In summary, there is a threat for minor severe weather at this time, but that is bound to change.

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