Friday, March 18, 2011

Severe Weather Situation #006 Assessment

The Severe Weather Situation for this evening is now cancelled as the storms are no longer severe.
This is the follow-up assessment to this Severe Weather Situation.

Q and A

Why didn't the National Weather Service predict this?
Unless they were carefully tracking all the parameters, pop-up severe storms are extremely difficult to predict, let alone where. However, there were hints that severe weather could break out.
Hint: A cold front was moving in to the area.
Hint: Best Lifted Index reached levels of -8, which is considered fairly to moderate unstable.

I do feel the National Weather Service could have upped the chances of thunderstorms rather than 10-20%, but their forecast is their forecast, and I will not dispute it.

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