Sunday, March 20, 2011

March 20 La Nina Update and Forecast

This is an update and forecast on the La Nina currently occurring.
This image shows how we are currently in a fairly neutral stage at this time. However, temperatures in this portion of the forecast are projected to drop, then turn towards an El Nino stage.
The next series of images are from a different forecast area in the ocean but still on the basis of ocean temperatures.

Overall, in these forecast areas, it does appear we are heading for either a neutral state of oceanic temperatures or an El Nino. Tthe latest ensemble members appear to be leaning towards an El Nino, which is especially intriguing since the earliest members prefer a more La Nina term.
We will continue to watch this, but as of now, the official Weather Centre forecast is to head into an EL NINO.

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