Thursday, August 26, 2010

Current conditions

Mostly Sunny/ Clear going into night. Temps expected to lower into 50s into the night and tomorrow morning.


Atlantic: Hurricane Danielle
Category 2, expected to become Major hurricane within next 5 days.

TS Earl: Forecast to become Major hurricane at end of next 5 days.

60% chance of development off African coast in next few days.

Hurricane Frank: Ccategory 1, expected to become TS, then go into EX-tropcl depression

Friday, August 13, 2010

Weather report

Weakening storms are moving very slowly East Northeast. They are now affecting Northwest and Northcentral illinois. They will possibly dissipate by when they reach Northeast Illinois.

Special Weather Warning (Illinois)

For today into tomorrow, heat indices will be 100-110 with temperatures in the low 90s.
Here are several tips to stay healthy.

Check on the elderly.
Drink plenty of water.
Stay inside when possible.
If you must be outside, take frequent breaks and stay hydrated.
When taking breaks outside, try to stay out of the sun.
Don't do strenuous activity for over 30 minutes without frequent breaks and continuous hydration.
Wear light clothing.
If myou feel dizzy, light-headed, weak, nauseous, or anything unusual, immediately find a rest area inside and immediately drink water.
When outside, do not eat a high amount of salty foods, alchohol, or anything that can de-hydrate you.
See a doctor if any unusual conditions in your body continue for over 24 hours after continuous hydration and inside air conditioning.
Make sure you have proper air conditioning at all times.
If you have no air conditioning, find a cooling center or use fans with a lot of water.

Thursday, August 12, 2010




Snow day predictions will begin after the season's first snow, probably september-october.

Tuesday, August 3, 2010

Model Runs

The GFS is pointing towards a period of rain tonight into tomorrow morning, then chances for showers tomorrow night into Thursday night.

The NAM is forecasting storms to come through the area tonight, then a very intense storm system to go through the region Thursday Night.

Level of similarity: Poor.
No Model Runs today


This is an update to the official winter weather forecast in the Midwest area.

Heavier snow is forecast to occur in the Lower Great Lakes, including the local region.
A degree or so of cooler weather in that area as well.

Monday, August 2, 2010

Model Runs

NAM: Rain on Wednesday but ending shortly after when it begins. An enlarged storm system will affect the area on Thursday, continuing for at least another day after.

GFS: Hours 33 - 48 will contain rain, aka tomorrow morning until midnight Wednesday. The GFS says a small, weak system will come through approximetally Wednesday afternoon or so into Thursday and ending sometime early Thursday.

Summary: The GFS stated the storm system coming through in a few days will be much weaker coming through and will stick slightly north to the region. It will also exit the region quickly. The NAM says a storm system will come in the area stronger, larger, and farther away in the run.

The models differ largely in the few days

Sunday, August 1, 2010

Weather Word

La Nina
El Nino

La Nina is the cooling of the Pacific Ocean.

El Nino is the heating of the Pacific Ocean.


This is the official winter broadcast for the winter of 2010-2011 from The Weather Centre's weather headquarters. All stated items in this broadcast are meant to be strictly informational and are not under copyright of this blog. This statement is likely to be revised on average once every 2 weeks or so.

SECTION I: Precipitation
La Nina has come into effect, which started in June. This La Nina has been proved to exist by various charts, maps, and a temperature detecting loop model imagery. El Nino typically provides below-average precipitation across the Midwest region, as a El Nino was in effect last winter, providing less snowfall than expected. This winter, however, is expected to be above normal precipitation, as La Nina is opposite in effects to El Nino. Thus, the Midwest region should be recieveing above average snow/precipitation.

SECTION II: Temperature
This summer has been above normal for temperatures in the region this blog covers. A local meteorologist disclosed that hotter summers - as hot as the current one - have 4 out of 5 times, lead to colder winters than normal in the local region. Thus, I am forecasting colder temperatures.

SECTION III: Types of precipitation
Snow: Snow is forecast to occur more often with cooler temperatures and above normal precipitation this winter.
Rain: Rain chances are down compared to last year and other years as colder temperatures are forecast.
Ice: Ice is forecast to decrease slightly as temperatures are colder, but is boosted as more precipitation is forecast.

The 2010-2011 winter in this region is forecast to be LESS RAINY, MORE SNOWY, and NOT MUCH CHANGE for ICE.

La Nina Update

La Nina is forecast to last until possibly early 2011

Model Runs

NAM: Hour 36-57 includes rain with spotty showers on both ends, aka: Tomorrow at noon until Tuesday night.

GFS: Hour 30-54 is forecast for rain, aka Tomorrow morning until Tuesday afternoon-evening.

Changes from yesterday: The NAM and GFS do not observe the large rain storm that was forecast for the area on Day 9-10.

Summary: Rain is possible Tomorrow morning until Tuesday night areas.